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Craft Chat Royal Road Experiment - The Stats!

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Data and Insights from an RR Experiment
(Yes, I am presenting this as a research paper. It's the closest I'll ever get to my own academic publication.)

Abstract/Summary
I posted Volume I (40 chapters) of a planned four-volume series on Royal Road as free serialized fiction. My main goals were to see what would happen and whether I could learn anything about readers. The following turned out to be important: a good enough cover/blurb/first few chapters, regular consistent chapter updates, and a protagonist with strong and believable motivation and agency. The following were revealed as less important: fabulous language and a plot cast in stone.

Introduction
I needed to prove to myself that I can write a human protagonist in a recognizable genre. I wanted to explore platforms and avenues. I also know that I work really well under strict deadlines. Royal Road seemed like the best place to start this experimental journey. So I threw together the first couple of chapters from an idea I've had, decided on a no-nonsense thrice-a-week chapter posting schedule, and set off.

Methods
I wrote one day and edited/posted the next, with Sundays off. Chapter lengths were strictly 2000-2500 words. It was gruesome. It was insane. I had the great idea of taking kids on vacation halfway through and found myself writing a chapter on a flight and posting it when we landed. Bad idea.

As for, the actual written outcome....well, my German literature teacher would have scathingly called it 'trivial', and that was fine by me. Things that I would ponder over for days in my normal writing I would now slap on a huge piece of It's RR, the bar is low! tape and carry on. It worked, mostly. When it didn't work, I could go back and edit. Readers didn't care. In fact, when I had to almost completely rewrite three chapters (see the results section below), I told readers in the author notes and they went back and read the rewritten chapters! No one complained.

An important part of this particular phase of the experiment was zero advertising. No ads, no review swaps, no shoutout swaps, no telling anyone anywhere. The only ways readers could find it were (1) through the 'latest updates', where my new chapter would be on the RR main page for about 30 seconds and (2) through browsing the tags or the sci-fi list. When I was posting chapters, I could expect 40-50 views in the first 24 hours. Now that I have finished posting (i.e., near-zero visibility), I still get around one reader per day starting at chapter 1 and then working their way through.

Results
It was fun, it was stressful, it was informative. I shall definitely continue with the next phase of this experiment (first potential research question: how many followers will I lose by taking a two-week break between volumes?).

And now for the stats!

Figure 1. Page views per chapter over 2.5 months; please note there are gaps in the data because I do have a life, contrary to appearances.
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Three main points emerge from the data:

1. The gap between chapters 1 and 2 and the third chapter. This gap is a problem. It suggests that readers found the book, liked the cover, liked the blurb, liked the first chapter and then read the second chapter and thought actually, this isn't for me. Now, while not every story is for everybody, the fact that they thought it might be for them and were then disappointed is a problem. For the next phase, I need to better align the cover, blurb and first chapter with the story as a whole.

2. The point where I improved the blurb. My original blurb was pitiful. I rewrote it to fit with that is expected on RR and was rewarded by greater interest in the first chapter.

3. The point where I addressed a reader turn-off. If readers got past the issues with the second chapter, they happily chugged along until chapter 9, after which I suddenly lost about 1/3. I initially thought it was a language thing and edited the chapter 9 into the ground. No change. Then I realized the deeper issue: the protagonist needs to leave her home setting, but the way she does this is through happenstance, as if she conveniently falls into a passing shuttle. So, I completely rewrote chapters 7, 8 and 9 to give her strong inner motivation that lets her choose to launch herself in her own shuttle (metaphorically speaking). That did the trick, and readers no longer abandon the story in disgust.

Discussion
I'm happy with the experience. I learnt a lot and gained a couple handfulls of followers. Some began commenting, and engaging with them was a lot more fun than I had expected. Phase II will definitely involve more talking to readers through the author notes (I post under a bland one-word pseudonym, which creates a nice insulating layer between us).
 
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@Aethalope Thank you for posting. I just started a similar experiment on RR with a short story las night. I don't want to put my book out, though it's tempting, I'm just afraid of it being scraped by other sites etc. But I learned that if you publish on amazon you could then post it on RR to drive book sales, but other people say build your audience first on RR (and other platforms but I think for SFF RR is best) then monetise on Amazon or Patron.

I'm curious... What is your plan for this series on RR? Continue? Self-publish? FWIW this is my page there under a pen name: The Last Artist on Earth | Royal Road
 
Hi Sarit,
I'd say no, don't put your actual book out. It will get scraped and sold elsewhere, which would be heartbreaking. The series I am posting I made solely for RR with the full knowledge that it is simply long-winded advertising.

My current plan is to spend this year publishing four volumes of the same series (by using volumes you can carry over the followers from the previous volumes). They'll run for just under three months each, so by the end of the year they'll all be out. These volumes will always be freely available. Some authors start off with a few chapters and then stub the rest, i.e. bring it onto Amazon for readers to buy. That's certainly a valid option, it's just not the path I want to take.

You can also publish on Amazon and then post on RR to drive sales, but you do need very frequent posts or an established following for that to work. If it's just a chapter or two, you'll get no more than a couple dozen eyes on it.

One of my goals is to attract readers and get them to trust that I will finish what I start. That is an important point on RR, where apparently a huge number of stories simply stop or go on indefinite hiatus. Hopefully this trust will carry over when, after this series is finished, I post a link to my self-published book that, yes okay, starts off a little weird, but I swear it pays off!

Looking forward to checking out your work on RR!
Laura
 
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